看時間:數據是2022年6~8月的數據,已能獲得充沛疫苗資源的國家來說該國國民絕大多數都有接種疫苗,以澳洲公布的數據來看16歲以上的澳洲人98%有接種一劑疫苗,兩劑為96.3%,三劑為71.7%,而New South Wales的人口數根據Population Australia這個網站上顯示在2022年6月底可能會達到 826萬人,而該地區16歲以上居民97%有接種一劑疫苗,兩劑為95.4%,三劑為69.6%(數據來源)
2. 分母要選對:在做如該信提到的感染機率比較時,我們必須要有施打疫苗者跟有施打疫苗者比,沒施打疫苗者跟沒施打疫苗者比,為什麼?因為你要比的是施打疫苗者跟沒施打疫苗者各自的感染機率,而以澳洲數據來看16歲以上施打至少一劑疫苗者有98%(20,209,451人),換而言之沒施打疫苗者大約是2%(412,428人);而在New South Wales16歲以上施打至少一劑疫苗者有97%(約8,017,050人),未施打疫苗者大約3%(大約247,950人)如果沒選對分母,算出來的數據會大錯特錯。
中和性抗體需要不短的成熟期,不可能在疫苗接種後幾週內產生[49][50],除非你已經是接種超過一劑疫苗,接著在第二或是第三劑疫苗施打後幾週內產生中和性抗體那可能還說得過去。而 mRNA 疫苗可以有效刺激與誘導 T 細胞與 B 細胞已在過往實驗中獲得證實[51],對於其導致心肌炎、心包炎與過敏等的可能機制也有不少研究團隊分析討論[52][53],並針對其安全性與哪些族群可能施打有較高的風險有所研究[52–54]。
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這篇真的很長,拉到最下方的作者貢獻(Author contributions)區可以看到這段話:S.S., G.N and A.K. all contributed substantially to the writing of the original draft. P.M. participated in the process of editorial revisions. 意思是作者序上的前三位作者負責寫這篇文章的草稿,而最後一位作者是通訊作者並且負責整篇文章的投稿與問題回覆。
而更有趣的是該篇發表的主要編輯為 Dr. Jose Luis Domingo,他主要研究方向為環境與食品污染對人類健康的影響,但他的研究其實不少備受批評外,他曾經在 Food and Chemical Toxicology 期刊上徵稿[6],希望有人能夠投稿關於 Covid-19 疫苗對人體有害的稿件,之後便有了這篇號稱「MIT 研究」的發表,但國外也早已有文章批評其是披著科學文獻皮的虛假訊息[7]。
講完該發表作者群與編輯的背景與事蹟後,讓我們看一看這篇文章發表在哪個期刊:Food and Chemical Toxicology 食品與化學毒理學期刊;而正統疫苗相關發表會去什麼期刊:生物學、免疫學等相關期刊。每個期刊代表的研究領域不同外,同時也代表該期刊的評審背景,你不可能在食品相關期刊找到免疫學專業的評審,反之亦然。倘若這篇疫苗有害論的發表整體論點清晰佐證明確,那早就應該可以上免疫學相關期刊,不用跑去食品期刊湊熱鬧。